Archive for July, 2009

The Moon we Left Behind

Saturday, July 25th, 2009

The situation is worse, much worse than Charles Krauthammer has described.
The same breed of people who are desperately trying to take over our sterling, world-envied and internationally utilized health care system have been running our space program since day one.
That worked marvelously when they were mostly in their twenties and had not had their nerve killed by the civil dis-service system.
The current half-baked Lunar Return effort should be allowed to die a-birthing. It is an agglomeration of recycled, mostly used space hardware that is being re-arranged to make an attempt to go to Luna on the cheap.
They recommended to the Augustine Panel that the electronics on the Shuttle Orbiter be used on the Lunar Project vehicles “because it is fully proven and reliable” !
Have you watched the electronics in recent Mercedes Benz auto ads?
And these guys think we should save money by going back to Luna using Shuttle electronics that were originally designed in the ’70s and have gone though a dozen upgrades since?
Look, when we did Apollo our space efforts were exciting, new, innovative and truly heroic.
The current effort is downright boring.
It is technologically a lesser effort than the mid ’60s Gemeni precursor project that led up to the Apollo flights.
And at a time when “a trillion dollars” is bandied about like penny-anti poker in other government projects, they are so short of funds that combustion instability (pogo) in their key solid rocket motor, instead of being re-designed out,
will be accepted by adding “springs” to the support structure!
That’s about on a par with installing better shocks on your old car because the tires have developed lumps.
The recent revue held by the Augustine Commission (he was my boss when I was Crew Systems Manager on Skylab at the Martin Co.) had a public meeting to hear suggestions. Every person who appeared proposed using recycled parts
from existing hardware to build our Luna voyager. They clearly knew that this was what NASA wanted to hear.
The argument was that would “save money”.
Now, there are two kinds of expenses associated with such a project: Recurring, and Non-recurring.
The problem with the Space Shuttle is that NASA was forced by the Nixon Admin. to build a Space Shuttle that throws away almost all of itself on every flight.
The only recoverable parts are the steel casings for the solid rockets and the Shuttle vehicle, itself.
Consequently, the cost per launch (the recurring  costs) have been estimated to exceed $850 million.
That was because the Nixon Admin. that inherited the Shuttle Program, directed NASA to cut its budget in half , and then cut it in half again.
So they saved on non-recurring costs, but committed to such exorbitant recurring costs that the Shuttle has been crippling NASA’s annual budget ever since.
Have they learned anything from that experience?
Obviously not.
The more expensive initial cost, fly-back first stage of the original Shuttle design would have made it a truly fully re-useable system, and significantly reduced the awful cost of the some 124 Shuttle flights made since its inception.
So, in typical Civil Service tradition, they are about to repeat the error in returning to Luna, the moon of Earth.
But I do not think the current effort will produce a viable system, and clearly, that will be the lesser evil.
I believe trying to go back to Luna on the cheap will fail, and just as we were almost humiliated by the Russians on Apollo, we really will be humiliated this time by the Chinese or the Indians, unless reason returns in time.

Bill

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The Moon We Left Behind

By Charles Krauthammer
July 17, 2009

Sarah Palin and the Future

Wednesday, July 8th, 2009
Sarah Palin’s giving up the Governorship of Alaska a year and half early.
This is further proof that she is not one to be limited by conventional rules.
But the solution to almost all of our political and economic problems is quite obvious and straightforward.
We just need to raise a 52% voting majority that supports basic, fundamental, common sense values … or what used to be so defined.
If there is already say, 30% of the voting public (and that is perhaps 15 or 20% of the adult population) that supports our basic American values, then all we need to do is convince another 20% of the voting public (10 or 15% of the general public) to THINK and Republicans will regain the majority.
The trouble is, many if not most of the current Republican “leaders” seem to think we can gain a majority of voters by pursuing “Democrat ‘light’ ” policies.
I am totally disappointed in, e.g., Michael Steele, of whom I had expected so much, but who kicked off his effort to lead the RNC by attacking Rush Limbaugh.
I think that is why Sarah Palin is such a force… the ineffective and fearful, current Republican “leaders” are scared of her.
Note the luke warm and even sarcastic responses of the Republican Party “leaders” to her announcement that she is resigning the governorship.
Not even John McCain had the cohones to say anything to support her … though I think the most important contribution of John McCain’s political life may turn out to be his choice of her as his running mate in 2008.
Here’s my take on her decision to resign.
I believe her loyalties are, in this order, to her Country, her State and her Family.
I think she concluded that all three were being damaged by the organized campaigns to destroy her.
She and her husband probably sat down and examined their situation and concluded as follows:
1. She had already accomplished most of her objectives for Alaska and Alaskans as governor. In the remaining months of her term the staff and the Lt. Governor would be well able to complete what remains.
2. The attacks against her were costing not only her and her family but the citizens of Alaska many wasted dollars, and would continue to as long as she was in that office.
3. There are numbers of issues on which she holds strong convictions, and would very much like to speak out and lead  public opinion on…. and on which it was clear, the Republican Party has not provided leadership.
4. If she stepped down as Governor, she would be free to pursue a number of attractive opportunities:
a. Complete and publish her book, with chapters added explaining her decision, and engage in highly lucrative and politically effective lecture tours.
b. Restore the family finances, and add resources, both monetary and organizational, that would allow her to operate as an independent force, saying what she wishes, where and when she wishes on any subject she considers worth her time.
d. The end result can be that she will have filled the leadership vacuum that has plagued the Republican constituency ever since Ronald Reagan left the White House.
Here are some tactics I hope she employs:
1. A grand tour of Anwar; the depressingly barren and useless Arctic Desert that the Libs have made into some kind of “animal paradise” that would be destroyed if we allow a couple dozen oil derricks to sprout there.
2. Then the next tour can be of the California off shore oil deposits, stating what all that oil money and the taxes it would allow, would do to put California’s budget back in the black… as oil money has Alaska.
3. Then a visit to Wyoming and the other oil shale regions, with statistics of how environmentally friendly new extraction methods will allow us to become totally energy independent of the Middle East; add a camera tour of the trillion Dollar
cities they are building in the Arab oil regions, all paid for by the US oil imports.
4. Use the momentum of those trips to educate the US Public about “Cap and Tax” and the utter idiocy of that whole approach, with in depth documentation of what  “C & T” has done to Europe … and how the Europeans are cheating on reducing their “carbon footprint” while criticizing the Americans for not doing their “fair share”.  Add the idiocy of US forcing our industry to give up cheap energy sources while China, India, Russia and most of the rest of the World simply ignore the whole thing.
5. Push for adding nuclear power as the cheap and safe energy source it truly is … the record of the Navy nuke subs over forty years, the French deriving now 80% of their energy from Nukes (what do they do with their nuclear waste?) and the absolute idiocy of barring sequestering  of our nuke waste in the Yucca Mountain Facility …  saying it has to be stored for “10,000 years”!
Do these people really understand what has happened over the last one hundred years, and still believe that radioactive waste will continue to pose a problem to Americans even 100 years from now?
I’m fond of citing the terrible problem of the mounds of horse manure that piled in the streets and threatened New Yorkers around 1900.
A million flies would dine on the manure in the roads, and then have desert on the big sides of beef hanging in the open air butcher shops.
I’m convinced that well before Yucca Mountain has a chance to develop any significant leaks, nuke waste will be as unimportant to human safety as horse manure now is on New York streets.
6. And finally, she can become the modern Tom Paine, leading us in rededication to the principles that made us the road to prosperity and the gateway to freedom not just for Americans, but for the entire world.
And whether or not she runs, much less wins the Presidential office in 2012 or later is an issue she can deal with when the time comes.
May God be with her and our beloved country !
Bill Haynes

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